Collection of Interesting, Worth Reading NEWS, ANALYSIS & ARTICLES

MERLE HAZARD, an unusually satirical country and western crooner, has captured monetary confusion better than anyone else. “Inflation or deflation,” he warbles, “tell me if you can: will we become Zimbabwe or will we be Japan?”

How do you guard against both the deflationary forces of America’s worst recession since the 1930s and the vigorous response of the Federal Reserve, which has in effect cut interest rates to zero and rapidly expanded its balance-sheet? On May 4th Paul Krugman, a Nobel laureate in economics, gave warning that Japan-style deflation loomed, even as Allan Meltzer, an eminent Fed historian, foresaw a repeat of 1970s inflation—both on the same page of the New York Times.

There is something to both fears. But inflation is distant and containable, while deflation is at hand and pernicious.

Before reading further just make a guess after glancing at the headline of this post.

According to the Bank for International Settlements, the notional value of over-the-counter derivatives worldwide reached a mind-boggling $684 trillion last summer. That's more than six times the scale they had reached by 2002 when Warren Buffett dubbed derivatives "financial weapons of mass destruction".

Perhaps the trillions pledged can plug the leaks from subprime mortgages and failed auto loans, but can we reasonably expect to keep a derivatives market afloat that is at least eight times the size of a contracting global economy? I don't know, but I sure hope Bernanke and Geithner do.

The following table provides as precise an accounting of the crisis as the public record presently permits. After calculations, the combined total of existing, announced, and potential outlays from the Federal Reserve and U.S. government agencies that are directly attributable to the financial crisis will breach $13 trillion! Now match this figure with the guess you made at the start of this post. Did it match? I am sure it did not; at least mine didn't.

The adopted strategy of spending to bring United States out of this mess by propping up the system with loans and guarantees has now been etched into stone ... there is no turning back. To the contrary, experts fear the only path ahead implies still further commitments of public funds and woeful undermining of the U.S. dollar. Lets keep our fingers crossed and hope this plan doesn't go underwater otherwise not only US but whole world will sink along with this titanic ship called United States.

Did you know (At least I didn't know) that another not so well known financial crisis happened a century ago? In early 1906, the US banker Jacob Schiff told a group of colleagues that if the United States did not modernize its banking and currency systems, its economy would, in effect, fall off a cliff — that the country would “have such a panic ... as will make all previous panics look like child’s play.”

Yet the United Sates failed to reform its financial institutions, and conditions deteriorated steadily over the next 20 months. There was a worldwide credit shortage. The American stock market crashed twice. The young Dow Jones industrial average lost half of its value.

In October 1907, when a panic started among trust companies in New York and terrified depositors lined up to get their money out, Schiff’s dire prediction seemed about to come true. The United States had no Federal Reserve, the Treasury secretary did not have much political authority, and the president, Theodore Roosevelt, was off shooting game in Louisiana.

J. Pierpont Morgan, a 70-year-old private banker, quietly took charge of the situation.

Sounds interesting? Read the full story HERE

I am starting my first entry with the some basics of the current state of the economy of the world. May of you would be wondering how this mess was created at the first place. Yes, the mess was created... it did not happen all by itself. You may say the cause to be greed, loose regulations or any other but something caused it. So read the following in the order they are written:

Financial Crisis for Beginners - There are lot of other articles on this page. If those interest you then do read them to get a full picture.

What is National Debt

Interest Rates for Beginners

Federal Reserve for Beginners

Bank Failures

Bank Runs

Above articles are basics. If you have some more energy to read then go through these articles as well. These are little more than beginner ones...

Primary Surpluses and Sustainable Debt Levels in Emerging Market Countries

Keynes Economics Theory

Keynes Theory being tested by Obama first time since it is written

The Recession Paradox: Spend Or Save?

Reviving The Economy: What Really Works?

And some other related ones that I thought will interest you are here...

How Hedge Funds and other investors are making money on toxic assets of banks

Wall Street on the Tundra (Iceland's Fall)